U.S. Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris and her running mate, Minnesota Governor Tim Walsh, gesture at a campaign rally in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, U.S., August 20, 2024.
Kevin Lamarque | Reuters
To understand the economic vision of the Harris-Walz presidential ticket, Minnesotans say just look to the North Star State.
“I have heard some of the things discussed in the ticket,” Minnesota AFL-CIO Chairman Bernie Burnham told CNBC in an interview. “It’s kind of a reflection of what’s going on here.”
Under Democratic Governor Tim Walsh, Minnesota expanded union protectionsover $1 billion was approved housing resources, established universally paid family and medical leaveis funded free school mealshiking corporate taxes and more.
Taken together, they make Minnesota a kind of proving ground for progressive policies that have faced opposition at the federal level.
Now, with Walz on the ticket as running mate Kamala Harris, Minnesota’s playbook is getting national attention.
“It’s definitely a roadmap,” Amy Koch, a Republican strategist who previously served as a Minnesota state senator, told CNBC.
Already, several of Harris’s campaign finance priorities mirror policies Walz championed in Minnesota.
The vice president has suggested stronger coding protection of workersinvesting to build three million new homes, providing a $25,000 subsidy for all eligible homebuyers who qualify, and expanding the child tax credit, the earned income tax credit and other tax programs. He has also supported an increase in corporate tax.
But at the same time, Harris toned down the rhetoric about corporate greed and big business monopolies that animates so many of President Joe Biden’s speeches.
That led some leaders in corporate America to hold out hope that if elected president, Harris would give them a bigger seat at the table than her predecessor.
But if Harris takes notes from Walz’s approach to Minnesota, that hope may be more than a pipe dream.
“Caution to the Wind”
This was made possible by a rare confluence of factors that favored the Democrats.
In November 2022, when Walz was re-elected governor of Minnesota, the state’s Democratic Party, known as the Democratic-Farmer-Labor, or DFL, won a rule trifecta with slim majorities: margin of one seat in the Senate and six seats in the House.
Democratic gubernatorial candidate Tim Walz participates in a gun violence prevention roundtable with former representative Gabby Giffords in Minneapolis, Minnesota, U.S., October 26, 2018. This photo is taken on October 26, 2018.
Brian Snyder | Reuters
“I’ll be honest with you, it was a little bit of a surprise,” said former DFL Minnesota state Sen. Jeff Hayden. “We were all gasping,” he told CNBC.
A month later, the new DFL majority had more good news.
The Minnesota Office of Management and Budget reported that the state will enter the 2023 legislative session with a budget surplus of $17.6 billion;. It was the largest one-year budget surplus in Minnesota history, the product of high tax collection rates and lower-than-expected spending levels.
Now the DFL had both the majority and the money it needed to pass its agenda.
Minnesota Democrats also realized how fragile their trifecta was.
The land of 10,000 lakes is reliably blue in presidential elections. But in situation level, it is much less partisan. The last time Minnesota Democrats won both houses of the legislature and the governor’s office was in 2012, and promptly lost that trifecta in the next election cycle.
With that 2014 loss still a vivid memory, Minnesota Democrats knew they might only have a few months to turn their priorities into law.
“People just threw caution to the wind,” Hayden said.
During his second term, Walz signed several big bills in lawincluding a $2.3 billion education budget, along with measures to vest access to abortion and transgender protection, legalization of marijuana, expansion housing subsidies tax and childcare credits, strengthening worker bargaining protections, pay for free school meals and ban so-called corporate “junk fees”.
Repulsion of industry
The political push for Minnesota’s universal paid family and medical leave, which Walz signed last year, was driven largely by unions and progressive advocacy groups.
“We had a very important seat at the table,” said Elianne Farhat, the executive director of TakeAction Minnesota, a progressive nonprofit. “It was really a good model and way of what we would say is a kind of governance together: community and elected officials.”
But Walz had to weigh those interests against pressure from Minnesota’s important business community, which the state is proud of. Over a dozen Fortune 500 companies are headquartered there, including Target, General Mills and UnitedHealth.
Target’s flagship store at Target headquarters on January 7, 2021 in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
AaronP/Bauer-Griffin | GC Images | Getty Images
Corporate trade groups have fought hard to defeat the push for paid leave, which is funded in part by a significant increase in the payroll tax.
“It’s not very smart policymaking,” said Minnesota Chamber of Commerce President Doug Lunn. “This is creating a new mandate for businesses with a new right that will be costly to Minnesota.”
In meetings with Walz and DFL lawmakers, Loon said his concerns were heard but rarely responded to: “We’ve seen very little final action on the things we’ve been asking for,” he told CNBC.
Meanwhile, unions had the opposite experience: Burnham, the president of the Minnesota AFL-CIO, said that when union leaders voiced opposition to a piece of the bill, lawmakers made the change they had asked for.
When asked if the Harris-Walz ticket would replicate any of Minnesota’s approach, the Harris campaign dodged the question. “I don’t think there’s any real need to speculate about what he stands for,” campaign spokesman Charles Lutwak told CNBC.
He also pointed to CNBC’s annual ranking of the best US states for doing business, in which Minnesota ranks sixth.
Personal approach
Former high school teacher and union member with zero shares, Walz has few obvious financial or professional ties to the private sector. He also has a personal interest in the welfare of the people, which he showed on the campaign trail, and which is a key element of his brand politics.
Minnesota Gov. Tim Walsh listens to homeless voters after being elected to his first term in 2018.
Monica Nilsson, Minnesota Housing Partnership advocate
When he was first elected governor in 2018, for example, Walz took a five-hour tour of Minnesota’s homeless encampments, where he heard the concerns of homeless Minnesotans.
“They spent that evening without press, learning what some of the challenges are,” Anne Mavity, the executive director of the nonprofit Minnesota Housing Partnership, told CNBC. “It was a different level of care and investment and focus than we’d seen before.”
Walz has since committed $1 billion to developing affordable housing and millions more to preserving the state’s existing public housing. He also signed a rights of tenants package that made it more difficult for owners to evict residents.